My choice is between the Lib Dems and the new Change UK group.
The Lib Dems have two things going for them:
- They have established brand recall, grass roots membership and party organisation,
- They performed the best (relative to past) of all the parties in the recent council elections.
If the council elections are a barometer, the Remain voters seem to be widely voting for Lib Dems. Combined with a relatively better established party organisation, this gives them the best chance, of the Remainer parties, of winning seats in the European parliament.
The Change UK party has one thing going for it – hope of a moderate, centrist contender.
Voting for them is a sending a message to the moderates in both parties that there’s a third way. A strong message on this may be more important as the Tories get ready to tilt further to the right once they rid themselves of their stubborn leader, and Labour shows no sign of recovering from its hard-left capture.
If Change UK win a decent percentage of the vote—and this election may be more about vote shares as a signal than the number of short-lived MEPs—then it may encourage more of the moderates in both main parties to speak up, or defect to the CUK.
I’m split. Should I…
- Vote for a party that has the better chance of winning a probably inconsequential MEP seat, or
- Vote for a party that has little chance of winning now, but has a chance at becoming a stronger, better force if enough people are seen voting for them?